{"id":9868,"date":"2022-03-06T16:45:49","date_gmt":"2022-03-06T16:45:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=9868"},"modified":"2022-03-06T16:45:49","modified_gmt":"2022-03-06T16:45:49","slug":"ripples-of-war-ukraine-conflict-affects-montana-local-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=9868","title":{"rendered":"Ripples of war: Ukraine conflict affects Montana | Local News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text first-p\">\n<p>The Russian war dismembering Ukraine has sent shockwaves rattling Montana.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Through video conferences and church vigils, courthouse rallies and economic reactions, echoes of the war 5,400 miles away have an impact here. And those ripples may grow into waves as the battle evolves.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cFree-thinking people with open minds know we\u2019re in a different 21st-century world and need a new way of dealing with global problems,\u201d said Clint Walker, a Russian studies professor at the University of Montana. \u201cBut the question is, how do we get there? We\u2019ve fallen back on this Cold War model of U.S. dominance and spheres of influence.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Walker was one of several experts sharing perspectives on the Ukraine situation through a UM Mansfield Center online gathering last week. Although the war was barely a week old, Russian President Vladimir Putin\u2019s threat of nuclear action against opponents outside Ukraine revived memories of the Cuban Missile Crisis.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>In an age of worldwide social media, this conflict has a more immediate presence than past crises. Twitter and Facebook didn\u2019t exist when the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks occurred in 2001 and the United States began its attacks on Afghanistan and Iraq.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"inline-article-recommend\" class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<div class=\"ir-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"style-title\">\n<div class=\"block-title emphasis-h3\">\n<p><h3>People are also reading\u2026<\/h3>\n<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Last week, Missoulians were in conversation with former University of Montana colleagues now connecting from Moscow and a refugee center in Poland.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>UM alumna and Ukrainian professor Oksana Nezhyvenko spoke to the Mansfield Center audience of several hundred on Wednesday, just a day after she crossed the Polish border with her 1-year-old daughter. Her husband could not leave Ukraine. She said the Russian effort to justify the attack was mind-boggling.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cWhen I watch Russian TV, I start believing Ukrainians eat children,\u201d Nezhyvenko said of Putin\u2019s claims that the attack was to \u201cde-Nazify\u201d the Ukrainian government. \u201cTheir media is so sick, we cannot believe what is happening.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Putin\u2019s attempt to sell the war to his own people appears mostly successful, according to Russian author and professor Alexander Pantsov, who was also on the Mansfield Center conference. A national opinion poll taken there last week reported Putin\u2019s popularity actually rose from about 60% to 70% after the war started.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><h3>Financial firepower<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>A globally coordinated campaign of economic sanctions against the Russian government and Putin\u2019s inner circle of wealthy oligarchs is intended to reverse that attitude. That includes cutting many Russian banks out of the SWIFT interbank communication network, which blocks financial transactions and wire transfers for their account holders.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>The United States barred the Russian central bank from making transactions in dollars, which prevents Russia from using its foreign currency holdings to prop up the value of its ruble. And U.S. officials have prohibited many individual Russian oligarchs close to Putin from traveling or conducting business.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>However, the impacts may take a while to affect the general Russian population. Pantsov said in Moscow, people are having difficulty getting cash from banks, and the value of the ruble has fallen from 71 to the dollar last October to 150 now.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>To date, Russians have not been reporting impacts on everyday life, such as food or fuel shortages. That may be due to the lack of places to report \u2014 on Wednesday, Russian <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.niemanlab.org\/2022\/03\/russia-blocks-tv-rain-its-last-independent-tv-channel-and-tv-rain-airs-its-last-broadcast\/\" rel=\"noopener\">authorities blocked transmission<\/a> of the last independent television network, TV Rain, and one of Moscow\u2019s oldest radio stations, Echo of Moscow.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Many of TV Rain\u2019s editorial staff have already fled the country, and other journalists have gone into hiding to avoid dissenter dragnets.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>While Russian forces launched their multi-pronged attack on Feb. 24, military harassment of Ukraine has been active since 2014, when Russian-backed militias occupied the eastern Ukrainian regions of Donetsk and Luhansk and Russia annexed the Crimean Peninsula by force. Those conflicts have accounted for more than 14,000 deaths.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s frustrating to me that the West has basically told Putin for years, \u2018One more step, and you\u2019ll get in trouble,\u2019 and then \u2018Oh, no, he took two steps,\u2019\u201d said Ukrainian-Missoulian Eduard Shokur, who has been <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@edideas\/i-am-ukranian-my-thoughts-about-russian-invasion-9cd5d717af33\" rel=\"noopener\">following events closely<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Shokur agrees with many international analysts that Putin appears set on re-establishing Russian international status equal to what the Soviet Union had in the 1970s, and that economic sanctions would have little effect on his ambition.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>But short of actively sending NATO or U.S. forces into combat in Ukraine, Shokur acknowledged that imposing financial blockades on both Russia and outside economic sectors that support Russian interests is worth doing.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think the European Union or the U.S. can strategically bomb Russia,\u201d Shokur said. \u201cBut we should inflict as much pain as possible. We can\u2019t be defeatist.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Mary Sarotte, a professor of historical studies at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, D.C<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/news.harvard.edu\/gazette\/story\/2022\/03\/why-peace-in-ukraine-isnt-likely-soon\/\" rel=\"noopener\">., told an audience<\/a> at the Harvard Kennedy School last week that Putin\u2019s mind probably can\u2019t be changed. He sees himself as a martyr, so the best diplomatic efforts will be to persuade his inner circle and other Russian elites.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s hard to know where this ends,\u201d Sarotte said. \u201cThis is probably unlikely, but my hope is that the people around Putin realize they\u2019re increasingly becoming a much bigger version of North Korea, and they don\u2019t want to live in North Korea. So, if there\u2019s some way to make the people around him see a better future without him \u2026 that would be one resolution that would be better than a lot of bad options.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><h3>Montana impacts<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Economic sanctions may have effects on the global crisis. They affect Russia\u2019s ability to financially pay for its actions, which range from soldier salaries to revenue for natural gas and oil no longer sold or contracted (which make up about 60% of the Russian economy).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>That destabilization could doom Russia&#8217;s gross domestic product, which is already smaller than Canada\u2019s or Italy\u2019s, to slip even further toward inconsequence. It ranked 64th in the world in 2021.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>However, sanctions will trigger recoil reactions on the nations that launched them.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>In Missoula, S.G. Long Financial Research Director Rob Richardson noted that the war and sanctions will pull huge amounts of Russian and Ukrainian wheat out of the market, opening opportunities for U.S. farmers. But Russia and Ukraine also export significant amounts of fertilizer that\u2019s now missing from the world market\u00a0\u2014 and raising the future cost of crops. That\u2019s already reflected in price increases for grain and meat now.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re also overnight seeing impact at the pump,\u201d Richardson said of the war\u2019s effect on energy supplies. \u201cMost places are seeing 20% to 30% increases in gas prices. Diesel futures are going to climb.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>All that aggravates inflation, which has already taken off through the economic turmoil of the COVID-19 pandemic. Short-term debates over the cost of fuel and food could have long-term impacts on bigger issues like the balance of fossil fuel to renewable energy development.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>While Russia\u2019s economy lags most of the developed world, its No. 3 rank for global oil and gas production gives it critical influence over other nations. But a rush to replace fossil fuel sources now runs counter to international efforts at reducing global warming from burning coal and petroleum.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>That could impact Montana, where the competition to open more public land for oil and gas exploration, prop up failing coal mines or develop wind and solar alternatives has become a major political battleground. Those political divides filter up to national politics as the United States heads for midterm elections this fall.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Volodymyr Zelenskyy won election to the presidency of Ukraine in 2019, defeating pro-Russian Petro Poroshenko in a landslide. Former U.S. President Donald Trump attempted to get Zelenskyy to investigate current President Joe Biden\u2019s son\u00a0\u2014 an effort that resulted in Trump\u2019s first impeachment before Congress.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Republican Gov. Greg Gianforte was Montana\u2019s congressional representative at that impeachment in December 2019, and voted against the proceeding. Then-Montana state auditor Matt Rosendale, also a Republican, campaigned against the impeachment in his successful bid to replace Gianforte as congressman, when Gianforte won the governorship.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Rosendale went on to be one of three members of the House of Representatives to vote against a March 1 resolution declaring support for Ukraine and demanding a withdrawal of Russian forces.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Senators Jon Tester, a Democrat, and Steve Daines, a Republican, joined a similar Senate resolution in February condemning Russia for the attack. However, the Senate failed to pass a February package of Russian sanctions out of committee <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.proofpoint.com\/v2\/url?u=https-3A__www.politico.com_news_2022_02_15_senate-2Dpoised-2Dto-2Dsettle-2Dfor-2Dsymbolic-2Drebuke-2Das-2Drussia-2Dsanctions-2Dtalks-2Dfizzle-2D00009096&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=UCja3IwhyjPGYeHcG7oIbg&amp;r=NlnFSYGRvmRSkIQiQI_H3m0_VY9pEsK9LmU6d6iQADY&amp;m=YZnJppqkbOv9_HS3si7PoBNpKLmHMkQ4EZJ5yrZQ3G4Awselk-3aC2jul5lXolu3&amp;s=ATaAJJ5bevBxQ-P4_AEpP1poOxJtDfEpPvHXFEq2xVU&amp;e=\" rel=\"noopener\">over partisan divides<\/a>. Daines and Tester on Friday both announced support for a bill blocking Russian gas and oil imports to the United States (which gets about 8% of its petroleum from Russia).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>None of that rancor was noticeable inside Missoula\u2019s First United Methodist Church last week, which has been offering a noontime vigil for anyone to silently contemplate the fate of Ukraine and the larger world.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>Pastor John Daniels said the midday quiet time has drawn so much interest, the church plans to keep its doors open through the coming week.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lee-article-text\">\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a way of calling attention to the wrongness of all this pain that\u2019s happening,\u201d Daniels said. \u201cPrayer is our biggest thing right now. That\u2019s what this is all about.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"reaction-wrap\" class=\"reaction-wrapper hidden-print reaction-a35dcb27-8899-5142-bde6-40690845568e logged_in\">\n<div id=\"reaction\">\n<div id=\"reaction-form-wrapper\">\n                            <span id=\"logged-in-reminder\" class=\"logged-in-reminder\">You must be logged in to react.<br \/>Click any reaction to login.<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div id=\"pu-email-form-daily-email-article\" class=\"p402_hide hidden-print\">\n<div class=\"text-center\">\n<p class=\"email-desc\">Subscribe to our Daily Headlines newsletter.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/missoulian.com\/news\/local\/ripples-of-war-ukraine-conflict-affects-montana\/article_a35dcb27-8899-5142-bde6-40690845568e.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Russian war dismembering Ukraine has sent shockwaves rattling Montana. Through video conferences and church vigils, courthouse rallies and economic reactions, echoes of the war 5,400 miles away have an impact here. And those ripples may grow into waves as the battle evolves. \u201cFree-thinking people with open minds know we\u2019re in a different 21st-century world [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[45],"tags":[5932,5303,572,571,111,57,4088,4017],"class_list":["post-9868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ripple","tag-affects","tag-conflict","tag-local","tag-montana","tag-news","tag-ripples","tag-ukraine","tag-war"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/6222a264b6b43.preview.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9868"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9868\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9870,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9868\/revisions\/9870"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}