{"id":6571,"date":"2022-02-01T04:01:14","date_gmt":"2022-02-01T04:01:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=6571"},"modified":"2022-02-01T04:01:14","modified_gmt":"2022-02-01T04:01:14","slug":"2-key-bitcoin-price-metrics-suggest-btc-is-primed-to-reclaim-40000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=6571","title":{"rendered":"2 key Bitcoin price metrics suggest BTC is primed to reclaim $40,000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-128018ef=\"\">\n<p>Cryptocurrencies had a volatile week after Bitcoin&#8217;s (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"noopener\">BTC<\/a>) sudden crash to $33,000 on Jan. 24. However, the sharp 9% drop fully recovered within 8 hours after BTC price regained the $36,000 support.<\/p>\n<p>On Jan. 26, Bitcoin rallied to $38,960 but it could not sustain the level and corrected by 8.8% in the following 8 hours. When factoring in the recent ups and downs, Bitcoin managed to only gain a meager 1.6% over the past seven days.<\/p>\n<p>Even with the considerable price swings, the aggregate futures contracts liquidations were relatively low. Longs (buyers) had $570 million futures terminated, while shorts (sellers) faced $690 million. Data shows that Bitcoin futures represented 41% of the total $1.25 billion liquidations.<\/p>\n<h2>Regulatory winds could be limiting BTC\u2019s price recovery<\/h2>\n<p>The total crypto market capitalization presented a modest 1.6% weekly increase, in line with Bitcoin&#8217;s performance.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-01\/7e36227d-425b-4412-9e14-b5320515c327.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Total crypto market capitalization, USD billion. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Notice how the Jan. 24 price is forming higher lows and currently shows support at $1.75 trillion. Even with the price being 22% down in 2022, the total crypto market capitalization showed a healthy 12.5% bounce since the Jan. 24 low.<\/p>\n<p>Investors seem to be digesting this week&#8217;s regulatory news where United States Congressman Ted Budd submitted an amendment to scrub a bill provision allowing the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/u-s-congressman-wants-to-scrub-bill-provision-that-crypto-advocates-say-is-a-potential-disaster\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/u-s-congressman-wants-to-scrub-bill-provision-that-crypto-advocates-say-is-a-potential-disaster\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">U.S. Treasury to unilaterally prohibit certain financial transactions<\/a> without public input.<\/p>\n<p>If passed in its current form, the America COMPETES Act of 2022 would result in a significant blow to the cryptocurrency industry, as Coin Center&#8217;s executive director Jerry Brito stated.<\/p>\n<p>Investors were negatively impacted by news that the U.S. White House is reportedly preparing an <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/white-house-reportedly-preparing-executive-order-on-crypto\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/white-house-reportedly-preparing-executive-order-on-crypto\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">executive order on crypto<\/a> to make government agencies conduct risk analysis on cryptocurrency as a national security threat. <\/p>\n<h2>Metaverse tokens decoupled after last week\u2019s Apple news<\/h2>\n<p>Steady bearish newsflow might have been the cause for cryptocurrencies\u2019 recent price action but there were some stellar performances from Metaverse tokens. <\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-01\/c321d12f-5f05-4da4-b6e1-d535284ca26e.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Top weekly winners and losers on Jan. 31. Source: Nomics<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Apple (AAPL) CEO, Tim Cook, said in an investors&#8217; call on Jan. 27 that metaverse applications have a lot of potential and that his company is investing in augmented reality developments on its devices.<\/p>\n<p>The news was enough to catapult metaverse-related tokens by up to 36%, including Flow, The Sandbox (SAND), Decentraland (MANA), Enjin Coin (ENJ), and Arweare (AR).<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Terra (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/terra-price-index\" rel=\"noopener\">LUNA<\/a>) was impacted after the Avalanche-based reserve currency Wonderland Money (TIME) announced that a pending proposal would determine whether the project closes up shop or not. As a result, the MIM stablecoin dipped below 1.00 and some speculate that this may have had a knock-on effect on Terra&#8217;s LUNA and UST token.<\/p>\n<p>Scalability and interoperability blockchain solutions Cosmos (ATOM), Fantom (FTM), and Harmony (ONE) presented negative performances after the Ethereum hash rate surpassed 1.11 PH\/s, its highest level ever registered. A higher hash rate indicates that more miners are joining the network, which helps to cement blockchain security.<\/p>\n<h2>Tether premium and CME futures showed improvement<\/h2>\n<p>The OKEx Tether (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/tether-price-index\" rel=\"noopener\">USDT<\/a>) premium measures the difference between China-based peer-to-peer (P2P) trades and the official U.S. dollar. Figures above 100% indicate excessive demand for cryptocurrency investing. On the other hand, a 5% discount usually indicates heavy selling activity.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-01\/1c7864d3-1ca5-4b74-926f-72aa124a0bc5.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>OKEx USDT peer-to-peer premium vs. USD. Source: OKX<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The Tether indicator continued to display strength as it stood above 99% over the past seven days. That is in stark contrast to three weeks ago when panic selling from China-based traders drove the indicator to a 4% discount.<\/p>\n<p>To confirm that the crypto market structure has improved, traders should analyze the CME&#8217;s Bitcoin futures contracts premium. This metric analyzes the difference between longer-term futures contracts to the current spot price in regular markets.<\/p>\n<p>Whenever this indicator fades or turns negative (backwardation), it suggests that there is bearish sentiment.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-01\/6ca7ae78-885c-4c98-a9f2-84e08e8e7090.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>BTC CME 2-month forward contract premium vs. Bitcoin\/USD. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>These fixed-month contracts usually trade at a slight premium, indicating that sellers request more money to withhold settlements for longer. As a result, futures should trade at a 0.5% to 2% premium in healthy markets, a situation known as contango.<\/p>\n<p>Notice how the indicator flirted with the backwardation from Jan. 18 to 24 as Bitcoin dipped below $42,000. However, as BTC showed signals that $33,000 could have been a local bottom, the futures markets recovered a healthy 0.5% premium.<\/p>\n<p>Considering that the aggregate cryptocurrency market capitalization is down 22% in 2022, the market structure looks primed for a recovery. <\/p>\n<p>Barring a significant change in these fundamentals, Bitcoin bulls are probably beginning to feel comfortable adding positions below $40,000.<\/p>\n<p><em>The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noshitcoins\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><em>author<\/em><\/a><em> and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/2-key-bitcoin-price-metrics-suggest-btc-is-primed-to-reclaim-40-000\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cryptocurrencies had a volatile week after Bitcoin&#8217;s (BTC) sudden crash to $33,000 on Jan. 24. However, the sharp 9% drop fully recovered within 8 hours after BTC price regained the $36,000 support. On Jan. 26, Bitcoin rallied to $38,960 but it could not sustain the level and corrected by 8.8% in the following 8 hours. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[41],"tags":[50,194,103,1373,195,803,2841,1633],"class_list":["post-6571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethereum","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-key","tag-metrics","tag-price","tag-primed","tag-reclaim","tag-suggest"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDEvYWIwOGEyYjEtMDNiOS00Zjc4LThmYzAtYTQyNzljNDRlNGQ0LmpwZw.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6571","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6571"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6571\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6573,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6571\/revisions\/6573"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6572"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6571"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}