{"id":51772,"date":"2023-05-24T10:55:31","date_gmt":"2023-05-24T10:55:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=51772"},"modified":"2023-05-24T10:55:31","modified_gmt":"2023-05-24T10:55:31","slug":"160k-at-next-halving-model-counts-down-to-new-bitcoin-all-time-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=51772","title":{"rendered":"$160K at next halving? Model counts down to new Bitcoin all-time high"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-2f4c2c70=\"\">\n<p>Bitcoin (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"noopener\">BTC<\/a>) price action may lack momentum this month, but one popular analyst is still eyeing new all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p>In his latest analysis, TechDev confirmed that he believes BTC\/USD will see a \u201cparabolic top\u201d around the 2024 block subsidy halving.<\/p>\n<h2>Can Bitcoin p gain 500% in a year?<\/h2>\n<p>Less than twelve months away, Bitcoin\u2019s next halving is already the topic of debate among market participants.<\/p>\n<p>Some argue that the event will <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/don-t-short-when-it-s-dark-green-how-to-trade-the-2024-bitcoin-halving\" rel=\"noopener\">lay the foundations<\/a> for the next all-time high, in line with previous halving cycles. <\/p>\n<p>For TechDev, however, the new BTC price record should come sooner rather later \u2014 specifically, in Q2 next year. <\/p>\n<p>The idea was originally <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/techdev52.substack.com\/p\/techdev-newsletter-market-update-366\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">covered<\/a> in a Market Update blog post earlier in May. This week, meanwhile, it was described as his \u201cprimary time-based idea.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A chart uploaded to Twitter showed the path to the Q2 top dotted with resistance lines \u2014 Fibonacci retracement levels and the current all-time high from 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, BTC\/USD should top out at around $160,000, it predicts.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2023-05\/1344c00e-6369-47de-ad43-781d74b0cfc6.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>BTC\/USD prediction chart. Source: TechDev\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>TechDev additionally updated a log scale BTC price prediction which he nonetheless acknowledged was unlikely to come true.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNot a forecast. Not a prediction. Not even my primary idea,\u201d a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TechDev_52\/status\/1555573689831378944\/photo\/1\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">prior update<\/a> from August 2022 stated.<\/p>\n<p>Formed using a simple log curve, the idea puts BTC\/USD at a similar price level, but sooner \u2014 by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Update: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener\">#Bitcoin<\/a> on adjusted log time<\/p>\n<p>Time = log(weeks)^3.44  <\/p>\n<p>Next period meets curve at 160-180K December 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Observation based on a sample of 2. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GH3zjEsdti\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/GH3zjEsdti<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 TechDev (@TechDev_52) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TechDev_52\/status\/1661115288673198098?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener\">May 23, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>Short-term bullish takes absent<\/h2>\n<p>How Bitcoin will behave for the rest of 2023 in the run-up to the halving continues to divide opinion.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Related:\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/learn\/bitcoin-halving-how-does-the-halving-cycle-work-and-why-does-it-matter\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin Halving: How it works and Why it matters<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As Cointelegraph reported, some market participants expect a deeper price correction, with veteran analyst Philip Swift not discounting the chance of a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-can-easily-hit-20k-in-next-4-months-philip-swift\" rel=\"noopener\">return to $20,000<\/a> in the coming months.<\/p>\n<p>After weeks of cooling, few voices are betting on the kind of upside seen in Q1 to make a comeback in the short term.<\/p>\n<p>In ongoing research, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital reiterated that Bitcoin was failing to keep hold of support levels required for upward continuation.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;BTC continues to reject from ~$27600. Weeks ago, this level was decisively lost as support. And for the past 2 weeks &#8211; it is a firm resistance,&#8221; he <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rektcapital\/status\/1661288827116199937\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">tweeted<\/a> on May 24. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u00a0&#8220;$BTC is technically positioned for downside. If BTC cannot reclaim $27600 as support soon, BTC will go lower in time.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>An accompanying chart showed BTC\/USD behavior on weekly timeframes.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2023-05\/71374c98-18f4-4a9c-831d-075a36e04335.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>BTC\/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong><em>Magazine: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/alamedas-38b-irs-bill-do-kwon-kicked-in-the-assets-milady-frenzy-asia-express\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Alameda\u2019s $38B IRS bill, Do Kwon kicked in the assets, Milady frenzy: Asia Express<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/160k-halving-btc-price-prediction-model-count-down-new-bitcoin-all-time-high\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) price action may lack momentum this month, but one popular analyst is still eyeing new all-time highs. In his latest analysis, TechDev confirmed that he believes BTC\/USD will see a \u201cparabolic top\u201d around the 2024 block subsidy halving. Can Bitcoin p gain 500% in a year? Less than twelve months away, Bitcoin\u2019s next [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51773,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[37],"tags":[15715,1285,50,5251,7837,261,1187],"class_list":["post-51772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-160k","tag-alltime","tag-bitcoin","tag-counts","tag-halving","tag-high","tag-model"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/88390bfe-0605-4621-9cb3-ddd1f56f2f09.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51772"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51772\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51774,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51772\/revisions\/51774"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/51773"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}