Litecoin (LTC<\/a>) has rebounded by 130% to almost $100<\/a> after bottoming out near $40.50 in June 2022. The primary reasons include broadly improving risk-on sentiment and euphoria around Litecoin\u2019s upcoming halving<\/a> in August 2023. <\/p>\n However, technicals suggest that LTC may wipe out most of these gains in the coming months.<\/p>\n Litecoin stands to pare its gains mainly due to a giant bear flag on the weekly chart.<\/p>\n A \u201cbear flag\u201d is a bearish continuation pattern that occurs when the price consolidates inside an ascending, parallel channel after undergoing a strong downtrend. It resolves after the price breaks below its lower trendline with a rise in trading volumes.<\/p>\n Litecoin has been painting a similar pattern since early June 2022. Previously, the LTC\/USD pair had undergone a 70% price correction from $130 to $40.50. Thus, from the technical perspective, it would resume its downtrend course if its price breaks below the lower trendline.<\/p>\n As a rule, a bear flag breakdown move prompts the price to fall by as much as the previous downtrend’s length. Applying the same setup to Litecoin brings its bear flag downside target to nearly $30.50, or\u00a065% lower than the current LTC price.<\/p>\n As said earlier, Litecoin\u2018s price recovery has primarily occurred in line with similar moves across the risk-on market due to cooling inflation<\/a>.<\/p>\n For instance, the Nasdaq-100 stock market index has risen approximately 15.50% between October 2022 and January 2023. Similarly, Bitcoin (BTC<\/a>) has rallied by more than 50% since its November 2022\u2019s low of around $15,500.<\/p>\n The weekly correlation coefficient between Litecoin and the Nasdaq-100 has been mostly positive at 0.35 on Jan. 27. Similarly, the correlation between Litecoin and Bitcoin is now around 0.21.<\/p>\n But Mark Haefele, the chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management \u2014 along with other many other analysts \u2014 has noted<\/a> that the ongoing risk-on rally could be a \u201chead fake.\u201d In simple words, the ongoing Litecoin rally, under the influence of its risk-on counterparts, could be short-lived.\u00a0<\/p>\n Independent market analyst Capo of Crypto also agrees<\/a>, noting:<\/p>\n \u201cThe way the upward movement is happening, the way [higher-timeframe] resistances are being tested… it clearly looks manipulated, no real demand. Once again, the biggest bull trap I’ve ever seen.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n However, not everyone is bearish on risk assets such as Litecoin. Popular market analyst Rekt Capital sees<\/a> Litecoin rallying toward $160 in the coming weeks, citing a monthly chart setup as shown below.<\/p>\n Notably, the chart shows LTC\u2018s price undergoing a strong rebound move after testing a multiyear ascending trendline resistance inside the $40 to $50 area, which could qualify it for a further uptrend toward the $120\u2013$160 range.<\/p>\n These upside targets have previously acted as supports and resistances. Breaking this key resistance could therefore invalidate the bear flag setup, which happens 54% of all time, according to\u00a0research<\/a>\u00a0by veteran investor Tom Bulkowski.<\/p>\n This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\nLTC price paints giant bear flag\u00a0<\/h2>\n
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Litecoin price \u201chead fake\u201d?<\/h2>\n
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Bullish scenario for Litecoin<\/h2>\n
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