{"id":37336,"date":"2022-12-06T21:52:38","date_gmt":"2022-12-06T21:52:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=37336"},"modified":"2022-12-06T21:52:38","modified_gmt":"2022-12-06T21:52:38","slug":"3-reasons-why-ethereum-price-keeps-rejecting-at-the-1300-level","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=37336","title":{"rendered":"3 reasons why Ethereum price keeps rejecting at the $1,300 level"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-0aad2d21=\"\">\n<p>Ether (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/ethereum-price\" rel=\"noopener\">ETH<\/a>) rallied 11.3% between Nov. 28 and Dec. 5, peaking at $1,300 before facing a 4.6% rejection. The $1,300 resistance level has been holding ground for twenty-six days and is the most likely explanation for the correction to $1,240 on Dec. 6.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-12\/116ac6c4-feeb-45bd-ab6e-cde54d1a0185.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ether\/USD price index, 12-hour. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>So from one side, traders are relieved that Ether is trading 16% above the $1,070 low reached on Nov. 22, but it must be frustrating to fail at the same level the entire week. In addition to the price rejection, investors&#8217; mood worsened after three members of the United States Senate reportedly <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/us-lawmakers-request-answers-from-silvergate-over-ties-to-ftx-report\" rel=\"noopener\">requested information from Silvergate Bank<\/a> regarding its relationship with FTX.<\/p>\n<p>The lawmakers raised questions after &#8220;reports suggesting that Silvergate facilitated the transfer of FTX customer funds to Alameda&#8221; and gave the bank until Dec. 19 to issue a response. <\/p>\n<p>On Dec. 5, NBC News reported that Silvergate claimed to be a &#8220;victim&#8221; of FTX&#8217;s and Alameda Research&#8217;s &#8220;apparent misuse of customer assets and other lapses of judgment.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Newsflow remained negative after the Financial Times reported that the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/uk-crypto-bill-to-restrict-services-from-abroad-report\" rel=\"noopener\">United Kingdom Treasury is finalizing some guidelines<\/a> to restrict cryptocurrency sales from abroad. The changes would enable the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to monitor the crypto companies&#8217; operations in the region. The guidelines are being prepared as a part of the financial services and markets bill.<\/p>\n<p>Investors are afraid that Ether could lose the $1,200 support, but as highlighted by trader CashMontee, the S&amp;P 500 stock market index will be the key \u2014 but for now, &#8220;market too bullish.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">nah market too bullish I think. As long as spx stays up so does crypto. Monthly level at 1205 that i think will be tagged after but we didn&#8217;t take enough liquidity on eth yet to fall back down but of course could be wrong<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CashMontee (@CashMontee) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CashMontee\/status\/1599794912974684160?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener\">December 5, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Let&#8217;s look at <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/trading-for-beginners\/crypto-derivatives\" rel=\"noopener\">Ether derivatives<\/a> data to understand if the bearish newsflow has impacted crypto investors&#8217; sentiment.<\/p>\n<h2>Slight uptick in bearish demand for ETH futures&#8217; leverage<\/h2>\n<p>Retail traders usually avoid quarterly futures due to their price difference from spot markets. Meanwhile, professional traders prefer these instruments because they prevent the fluctuation of funding rates in a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/trading-bitcoin-vs-btc-futures-which-is-best-for-you\" rel=\"noopener\">perpetual futures contract<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The two-month futures annualized premium should trade between +4% to +8% in healthy markets to cover costs and associated risks. Thus, when the futures trade at a discount versus regular spot markets, it shows a lack of confidence from leverage buyers \u2014 a bearish indicator.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-12\/d0bccf14-a3b7-488c-af52-590647662c43.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ether 2-month futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The above chart shows that derivatives traders remain bearish as the Ether futures premium is negative. So, bears can celebrate that the indicator is far from the neutral 0% to 4% premium, but that does not mean traders expect an immediate adverse price action.<\/p>\n<p>For this reason, traders should analyze <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/how-to-trade-bitcoin-using-leverage-and-not-worry-about-liquidation\" rel=\"noopener\">Ether&#8217;s options markets<\/a> to exclude externalities specific to the futures instrument.<\/p>\n<h2>Options traders are getting comfortable with the downside risks<\/h2>\n<p>The 25% delta skew is a telling sign when market makers and arbitrage desks are overcharging for upside or downside protection.<\/p>\n<p>In bear markets, options investors give higher odds for a price dump, causing the skew indicator to rise above 10%. On the other hand, bullish markets tend to drive the skew indicator below -10%, meaning the bearish put options are discounted.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-12\/6c432ff0-bf0b-400a-ae22-71fe4afc8be3.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ether 60-day options 25% delta skew: Source: Laevitas.ch<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The delta skew has stabilized in the past week, signaling that options traders are more comfortable with downside risks. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: <\/strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/ethereum-march-2020-fractal-hints-at-price-bottom-but-eth-bears-predict-50-crash\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong><em>Ethereum &#8216;March 2020&#8217; fractal hints at price bottom \u2014 But ETH bears predict 50% crash<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As the 60-day delta skew stands at 12%, whales and market makers are getting closer to a neutral sentiment for Ether. Ultimately, both options and futures markets point to pro traders fearing that the $1,200 support retest is the natural course for ETH.<\/p>\n<p>The answer might as well be hidden under the macroeconomic calendar ahead, which includes the EuroZone&#8217;s and Canada&#8217;s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Dec. 7 and the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Dec. 13.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, the odds favor Ether bears because the newsflow implies that the possibility of stricter regulation is weighing down the market. <\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors\u2019 alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/3-reasons-why-ethereum-price-keeps-rejecting-at-the-1-300-level\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ether (ETH) rallied 11.3% between Nov. 28 and Dec. 5, peaking at $1,300 before facing a 4.6% rejection. The $1,300 resistance level has been holding ground for twenty-six days and is the most likely explanation for the correction to $1,240 on Dec. 6.\u00a0 Ether\/USD price index, 12-hour. Source: TradingView So from one side, traders are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37337,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[40],"tags":[158,664,195,660,5157],"class_list":["post-37336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis","tag-ethereum","tag-level","tag-price","tag-reasons","tag-rejecting"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMTIvMDRiN2U0NGMtNGYwNS00YjRiLWFlOTUtNWIxMWUwNjc1ZTczLmpwZWc.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=37336"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37336\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37338,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37336\/revisions\/37338"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/37337"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=37336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=37336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=37336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}