{"id":20795,"date":"2022-06-23T22:49:45","date_gmt":"2022-06-23T22:49:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=20795"},"modified":"2022-06-23T22:49:45","modified_gmt":"2022-06-23T22:49:45","slug":"ethereum-price-falls-below-1-1k-and-data-suggests-the-bottom-is-still-a-ways-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=20795","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum price falls below $1.1K and data suggests the bottom is still a ways away"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-2a0745c6=\"\">\n<p>Ether (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/ethereum-price\" rel=\"noopener\">ETH<\/a>) price nosedived below $1,100 in the early hours of June 14 to prices not seen since January 2021. The downside move marks a 78% correction since the $4,870 all-time high on Nov. 10, 2021.<\/p>\n<p>More importantly, Ether has underperformed Bitcoin (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"noopener\">BTC<\/a>) by 33% between May 10 and June 14, 2022, and the last time a similar event happened was mid-2021.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-06\/4f6dddde-ea71-469d-8ca3-1c92aef86e1d.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>ETH\/BTC price at Binance, 2021. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Even though Bitcoin oscillated in a narrow range two weeks before the 0.082 ETH\/BTC peak, this period <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/from-defi-year-to-decade-is-mass-adoption-here-experts-answer-part-1\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/from-defi-year-to-decade-is-mass-adoption-here-experts-answer-part-1\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">marked the \u201cDeFi Summer<\/a>\u201d<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/from-defi-year-to-decade-is-mass-adoption-here-experts-answer-part-1\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/from-defi-year-to-decade-is-mass-adoption-here-experts-answer-part-1\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a0peak when the Ethereum network\u2019s total value locked (TVL) catapulted to $93 billion from $42 billion two months earlier.<\/p>\n<h2>What\u2019s behind Ether\u2019s 2021 underperformance?<\/h2>\n<p>Before jumping to conclusions, a broader set of data is needed to understand what led to the 31% correction in the ETH\/BTC price in 2021. Looking at the number of active addresses is a good place to start.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-06\/a985424a-6baf-4e02-970d-7a29328feab7.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ethereum network daily active addresses, 7-day average. Source: CoinMetrics<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Data shows steady growth in active addresses, which increased from 595,620 in mid-March to 857,520 in mid-May. So, not only did the TVL growth take investors by surprise, but so did the number of users.<\/p>\n<p>The 31% Ether underperformance versus Bitcoin back in June 2021 reflected a cool-off period after unprecedented growth in the Ethereum ecosystem. The consequence for Ether\u2019s price was devastating, and a 56% correction followed that DeFi Summer.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-06\/52fc4c0a-2941-4fe3-a878-56832c7b21ae.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ether\/USD price at Coinbase, 2021. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>One must compare recent data to understand whether Ether is heading to a similar outcome. In that sense, those who waited for the 31% miss versus Bitcoin\u2019s price bought the altcoin at a cycle low near $1,800 on June 27, 2021, and the price increased 83% in 50 days.<\/p>\n<h2>Is Ether flashing a buy signal right now?<\/h2>\n<p>This time, there is no DeFi Summer and before this year\u2019s 33% negative performance versus Bitcoin, the active address indicator was already slightly bearish.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-06\/897a1153-ab46-4db5-9fa6-3b28eb3857a0.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ethereum network daily active addresses, 7-day average. Source: CoinMetrics<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>By May 10, 2022, Ethereum had 563,160 active addresses, in the lower range from the past couple of months. This is the exact opposite of the mid-2021 movement that occurred as Ether price accelerated its losses in BTC terms.<\/p>\n<p>One might still think that despite a relatively flat number of users, the Ethereum network had been growing by presenting a higher TVL.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2022-06\/50b9f4b7-7fd1-4beb-8c9c-4e98cf7268fb.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Ethereum network total value locked, USD. Source: Defillama<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Data shows that on May 10, 2022, the Ethereum network TVL held $87 billion in deposits, down from $102 billion a month prior. Therefore, there is no correlation between the mid-2021 cool-off after DeFi Summer and the current 33% Ether price downturn versus BTC.<\/p>\n<p>These metrics show no evidence of similarity between the two periods, but $1,200 might as well be a cycle low, and this will depend on other factors apart from the network\u2019s use. <\/p>\n<p>Considering how weak active addresses and TVL data were before the recent price correction, investors should be extra careful when trying to predict a market bottom.<\/p>\n<p><em>The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noshitcoins\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><em>author<\/em><\/a><em> and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/ethereum-price-falls-below-1-1k-and-data-suggests-the-bottom-is-still-a-ways-away\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ether (ETH) price nosedived below $1,100 in the early hours of June 14 to prices not seen since January 2021. The downside move marks a 78% correction since the $4,870 all-time high on Nov. 10, 2021. More importantly, Ether has underperformed Bitcoin (BTC) by 33% between May 10 and June 14, 2022, and the last [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20796,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[41],"tags":[8258,828,21,158,897,195,2966,2054],"class_list":["post-20795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethereum","tag-11k","tag-bottom","tag-data","tag-ethereum","tag-falls","tag-price","tag-suggests","tag-ways"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDYvOGNmNTU0MGUtZjVjZS00ZDNjLWE0YjMtZjc5NWNhZDY3NzNkLmpwZw.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20795"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20795\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20797,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20795\/revisions\/20797"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20796"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}