{"id":1939,"date":"2021-12-16T16:20:44","date_gmt":"2021-12-16T16:20:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=1939"},"modified":"2021-12-16T16:20:44","modified_gmt":"2021-12-16T16:20:44","slug":"historically-accurate-momentum-indicator-hints-at-possible-bitcoin-breakout-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=1939","title":{"rendered":"Historically accurate &#8216;momentum indicator&#8217; hints at possible Bitcoin breakout ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-128018ef=\"\">\n<p>Bitcoin (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"noopener\">BTC<\/a>) could see a \u201cmassive bullish move\u201d if a classic trigger from the 2021 bull run repeats this week.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Parabolic_Matt\/status\/1471321315147661312\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">tweet<\/a> on Dec. 16, on-chain analyst Matthew Hyland, known by the Twitter handle Parabolic Matt, drew attention to Bitcoin\u2019s momentum indicator.<\/p>\n<h2>Momentum indicator hints at potential &#8220;massive bullish move&#8221;<\/h2>\n<p>While still under $50,000, Bitcoin has already broken out of a long-term downtrend on the momentum indicator, which measures closing prices against those from a period in the past.<\/p>\n<p>Two such breakouts have occurred this year, and after each one, BTC\/USD went on to see considerable upside.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe previous two times it broke out of a multi-month downtrend this year, a massive bullish move followed,\u201d Hyland wrote as part of comments.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/afe8beb8-790e-4123-abc7-d11e17b98f5d.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>BTC\/USD vs. momentum indicator annotated chart. Source: Matthew Hyland\/ Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>While not a guarantee of \u201cup only\u201d price action, the momentum data joins a large number of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/analyst-lists-21-factors-calling-for-bitcoin-price-upside-but-just-4-bearish-signals\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/analyst-lists-21-factors-calling-for-bitcoin-price-upside-but-just-4-bearish-signals\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">on-chain metrics flashing bull signals<\/a> this month \u2014 a list that keeps growing.<\/p>\n<p>Hyland is known for his highly optimistic price forecasts, and last month <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-to-hit-250k-in-january-2022-but-invalidate-s2fx-btc-price-model-new-prediction\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-to-hit-250k-in-january-2022-but-invalidate-s2fx-btc-price-model-new-prediction\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">caused a stir<\/a> by predicting that Bitcoin would hit $250,000 in January 2022 while invalidating one of the popular stock-to-flow price models.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener\">#Bitcoin<\/a> bottom structure on the RSI and Momentum indicators (daily time frame) look very similar to what occurred in September before the reversal up started<\/p>\n<p>\u2022Momentum has broken out<br \/>\u2022RSI needs a close above resistance to confirm breakout<br \/>\u2022Bitcoin price waiting to breakout <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XDwiUsSj2U\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/XDwiUsSj2U<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Matthew Hyland (@Parabolic_Matt) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Parabolic_Matt\/status\/1471223777790996486?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener\">December 15, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In further analysis, he noted that both the momentum indicator and Bitcoin\u2019s relative strength index (RSI) on daily timeframes are mimicking behavior from September, when the market put in a local bottom before rising to current $69,000 all-time highs.<\/p>\n<h2>Dollar dives post Fed<\/h2>\n<p>Spot price action was meanwhile quieter on Dec. 15, Bitcoin lingering around $49,000 despite a conspicuous drop in the U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Related:\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-sheds-dumb-money-as-retail-buys-most-btc-since-march-2020-crash\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-sheds-dumb-money-as-retail-buys-most-btc-since-march-2020-crash\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin sheds \u2018dumb money\u2019 as retail buys most BTC since March 2020 crash<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar currency index (DXY), which measures USD against a basket of trading partner currencies, reversed its extended bull run last week, with Dec. 1 seeing a pronounced comedown, data from TradingView shows.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2021-12\/11f83ac8-abd5-43e9-83d3-da670c14a9fa.png\" \/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center\"><em>DXY 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Traditionally inversely correlated with BTC, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-rallies-above-49k-following-fed-fomc-announcement-of-rate-hikes-in-2022\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-rallies-above-49k-following-fed-fomc-announcement-of-rate-hikes-in-2022\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\">DXY&#8217;s drop follows a boost<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-rallies-above-49k-following-fed-fomc-announcement-of-rate-hikes-in-2022\" data-amp=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph-com.cdn.ampproject.org\/c\/s\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-rallies-above-49k-following-fed-fomc-announcement-of-rate-hikes-in-2022\/amp\" rel=\"noopener\"> for crypto and equities alike courtesy of the Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/historically-accurate-momentum-indicator-hints-at-possible-bitcoin-breakout-ahead\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) could see a \u201cmassive bullish move\u201d if a classic trigger from the 2021 bull run repeats this week. In a tweet on Dec. 16, on-chain analyst Matthew Hyland, known by the Twitter handle Parabolic Matt, drew attention to Bitcoin\u2019s momentum indicator. Momentum indicator hints at potential &#8220;massive bullish move&#8221; While still under $50,000, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1940,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[40],"tags":[1896,1386,50,528,1898,380,1897,1183],"class_list":["post-1939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis","tag-accurate","tag-ahead","tag-bitcoin","tag-breakout","tag-hints","tag-historically","tag-indicator","tag-momentum"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjEtMTIvZmI5OWQ4NmUtZTI4NC00ZDliLWE3NWUtMTcyODBlZDk1YWMwLmpwZw.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1939"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1939\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1941,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1939\/revisions\/1941"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1940"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}