{"id":16865,"date":"2022-05-15T16:08:17","date_gmt":"2022-05-15T16:08:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=16865"},"modified":"2022-05-15T16:08:17","modified_gmt":"2022-05-15T16:08:17","slug":"buy-the-dip-or-wait-for-max-pain-analysts-debate-whether-bitcoin-price-has-bottomed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/?p=16865","title":{"rendered":"Buy the dip, or wait for max pain? Analysts debate whether Bitcoin price has bottomed"},"content":{"rendered":"


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It has been a rough week for the cryptocurrency market, primarily because of the Terra ecosystem collapse<\/a>\u00a0and its knock-on effect on Bitcoin (BTC<\/a>), Ethereum (ETH<\/a>) and altcoin prices, plus the panic selling that took place after stablecoins lost their peg to the U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n

The bearish headwinds for the crypto market have been building since late 2021 as the U.S. dollar gained strength and the United States Federal Reserve hinted that it would raise interest rates throughout the year.<\/p>\n

According to a recent report from Delphi Digital, the 14-month RSI for the DXY has now \u201ccrossed above 70 for the first time since its late 2014 to 2016 run up.\u201d <\/p>\n

DXY index performance. Source: Delphi Digital<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This is notable because 11 out of the 14 instances where this previously occurred \u201cled to a stronger dollar ~78% of the time over the following 12 months,\u201d which points to the possibility that the pain for assets could get worse. <\/p>\n

On average, the DXY gained roughly 5.7% after its RSI rose above 70, which from May 13\u2019s reading \u201cwould put the DXY Index just shy of 111, its highest level since 2002.\u201d<\/p>\n

BTC\/USD vs. DXY Index (inverted) and a rolling 60-day correlation. Source: Delphi Digital<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Delphi Digital said, <\/p>\n

\u201cAssuming the correlation between the DXY and BTC remains relatively strong, this would not be welcoming news for the crypto market.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Bitcoin is at a key area for price bottoms<\/h2>\n

Taking a bigger picture approach, BTC\u00a0is now retesting its 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) near $26,990, which has \u201chistorically served as a key area for price bottoms\u201d according to Delphi Digital. <\/p>\n

BTC\/USD vs. 200-week EMA vs. 14-week RSI. Source: Delphi Digital<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Bitcoin is also continuing to hold above its long-term weekly support range of $28,000 to $30,000, which has proven to be a strong area of support throughout the recent market turmoil. <\/p>\n

While many traders have been panic selling in recent days, Pantera Capital CEO Dan Morehead has taken a contrarian approach,\u00a0noting<\/a>, \u201cIt\u2019s best to buy when [the] price is well below trend. Now is one of those times.\u201d<\/p>\n

Bitcoin fund inflows relative to price trend. Source: Twitter<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Morehead said, <\/p>\n

\u201cBitcoin has been this \u201ccheap\u201d or cheaper relative to trend only 5% of time since Dec 2010. If you have the emotional and financial resources, go the other way.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

A word of caution was offered by Delphi Digital, however, which noted that \u201cthe best opportunities or “deals” in the market are not around for long.\u201d<\/p>\n

Since BTC has been trading in the $28,000 to $30,000 range for an extended period of time, \u201cthe longer we see price build in these areas, further continuation becomes more likely.”<\/p>\n

If further decline occurs, the \u201cweekly structure and volume structure support at $22,000 to $24,000\u201d and the \u201c2017 all-time high retests of $19,000 to $24,000\u201d are the next major areas of support. <\/p>\n

Delphi Digital said, <\/p>\n

\u201cEarly signs of capitulation are starting to bleed through, but we can\u2019t say we\u2019re nearing the point of max pain just yet.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n


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It has been a rough week for the cryptocurrency market, primarily because of the Terra ecosystem collapse\u00a0and its knock-on effect on Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and altcoin prices, plus the panic selling that took place after stablecoins lost their peg to the U.S. dollar. The bearish headwinds for the crypto market have been building since […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16866,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[40],"tags":[237,50,1634,453,3425,707,4356,8072,195,4110],"class_list":["post-16865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis","tag-analysts","tag-bitcoin","tag-bottomed","tag-buy","tag-debate","tag-dip","tag-max","tag-pain","tag-price","tag-wait"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/1200_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDUvOTA5YzY2ZmQtNGU3Mi00YWVkLWE0MmMtYzE5ZWJlODA5ZTNkLmpwZw.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16865"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16865\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16867,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16865\/revisions\/16867"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16866"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egrowonline.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}